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.... the government will likely try to
bring the more conciliatory segments of the opposition into some kind
of negotiation. This could weaken the protest movement by isolating the
more combative groups among the protesters from the movement's
leadership negotiating with the government. If Sicad II effectively
distributes foreign currency, it could provide the opposition's business
representatives with a reason for continuing negotiations. However, the
Maduro government will need to give the opposition's political leaders
-- including Capriles -- more concessions to bring them into talks. ... Maduro may need to make other moves, such as
releasing political prisoners, to bring a wider part of the opposition
coalition into negotiations. These are concessions he may not be able to
afford...
Venezuela's New Economic Tool Could Advance Negotiations
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